The hourly intelligence update keeps the six-hour horizon bearish.
DALRT's current six-hour horizon is bearish, recalculated in the 12:00 UTC hourly Forecast Run, with 28% confidence and 58% reliability. The direction changed from bullish to bearish. Confidence decreased by 9.1% since the previous hourly Forecast Run.
Executive Summary
DALRT's current six-hour horizon is bearish, recalculated in the 12:00 UTC hourly Forecast Run, with 28% confidence and 58% reliability. The direction changed from bullish to bearish. Confidence decreased by 9.1% since the previous hourly Forecast Run.
Market Thesis
TradingView reference markets supported this view; TradingView reference markets supported this view; TradingView reference markets supported this view The principal counterweight is: Market breadth leaned bearish; TradingView reference markets challenged this view; TradingView reference markets challenged this view
What Changed
The direction changed from bullish to bearish. Confidence decreased by 9.1% since the previous hourly Forecast Run.
Evidence
TradingView reference markets supported this view; TradingView reference markets supported this view; TradingView reference markets supported this view
Counter Evidence
Market breadth leaned bearish; TradingView reference markets challenged this view; TradingView reference markets challenged this view
External Evidence
No retained news evidence had directional influence in this Forecast Run. No retained macro evidence had directional influence in this Forecast Run. Tradingview: 103 retained items selected.
Confidence
Confidence is 28%. Retained penalties: low provider coverage; knowledge adjustment -0.0260: knowledge:c11899cee11e1151efb666b45a7b7aeb4b69f339b684177526a4d51f2a746c0b; knowledge adjustment -0.0260: knowledge:ad2ebfd2e9df0c293c9261e44ebf50ef3b08484e00ea8ec8a0f715a08d6021e7.
Reliability
Reliability is 58%; this measures retained forecast dependability, not directional probability.
Uncertainty
portfolio uncertainty; Some external evidence remained limited; Evidence Fusion tradingview: supportive
Historical Context
Historical support covers 742 retained situations; similarity is 97%.
Learning
This Forecast used Knowledge Version knowledge:7651ad8d1d764d0787eee1c01b46a2d6af77c58a7e35d823237806ea907caf58 with 500 retained knowledge records.